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DPS growth

This line shows, for each period, how much DPS has grown, or is expected to grow, when measured against the previous period. A minus sign indicates negative growth. DPS is compared on an annualised basis.

The growth shown in the columns for the last five reported periods is calculated, in each case, by reference to the previous year’s normalised DPS. For the following two forecast periods, it is the year-on-year percentage by which DPS must grow in order to achieve the consensus forecasts shown.

The calculation is as follows:

Step 1:

THIS YEAR’S DPS

- PREVIOUS DPS

= DPS CHANGE (+ OR -)

Step 2:

DPS CHANGE

------------------ X 100 = DPS GROWTH (%)

PREVIOUS DPS

In order to ensure that a realistic measure of growth is achieved, it is essential that comparison should only be made between DPS figures calculated on a genuinely similar basis. This is particularly important when comparing historic DPS (based on reported results) for consecutive periods, or when comparing the last reported DPS with a forecast for the following period.

When a preliminary results announcement has just been received, and brokers have not yet reacted, the composition of the consensus, upon which the growth percentage is based, is arrived at by comparing the newly announced historic DPS for the latest period with each of the previously existing forecasts for the following period. Individual forecasts are eliminated from the consensus when the actual result (i.e. the newly announced historic DPS) deviates from the forecast it supersedes by more than 5%. Superseded estimates, and the consensus calculation, are explained in greater detail in Broker forecasts.


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